Tatton Weekly: Global growth ploughs on while markets take a breather; Lost decade for UK productivity; EU reaches trade deal with Japan; US rate setting committee minutes point to further rate rises

Mike Gordon

Global growth ploughs on while markets take a breather Rather unsurprisingly, investment returns’ upward momentum slowed in Q2, and in some cases reversed, following the very strong results of the first quarter. In particular, June developed very much along the lines we had anticipated, which was that, with economic growth perspectives returning from ‘gushing’ back… Read more »

Tatton Weekly: Return of the Taper Tantrum; Competing for funds: the FCA’s investigation into asset management; India’s most audacious reform yet – taxes; Concerted central banker mis-speak?; Italian road to recovery via an old-school bank bailout?

Mike Gordon

Return of the Taper Tantrum In almost perfect alignment with the turn of the British summer weather, capital markets turned distinctly soggy over the past week. This, however, can for once not be blamed on the lately so hapless prime minister, nor Brexit. It is simply the result of disoriented markets and unfortunately quite aligned… Read more »

Tatton Weekly: Quo Vadis – where to – Britain?; Oil’s supply soap opera; Japan – An arrow headed in the right direction; China capital market opening 2.0; Amazon’s increasing global dominance – good or bad?

Mike Gordon

Quo Vadis – where to – Britain? It is almost exactly a year since Britain’s electorate voted to leave the EU. In the 12 months since, extraordinary consumer resilience first catapulted the UK to the top of the G7 growth league and then returned the nation down to the bottom end. Likewise, in politics, what… Read more »

Tatton Weekly: Central Banks – None the Wiser; Unwinding of QE – first appearance on the horizon; Eurobonds on the horizon?; China’s capital markets door opens – a little – further; Change in stock selection dynamics lurks beneath the ‘technology tantrum’

Mike Gordon

Central Banks – None the Wiser While politics and another desperately sad case of corporate man-slaughter dominated UK news, economics at home and abroad were dominated by central bank policy action, in-action and signs of rate setting committee dissent.   Unwinding of QE – first appearance on the horizon While there were no real surprises… Read more »

Tatton Weekly: Strong and stable?; Political cycles and economic imperatives; New EU bank insolvency regulations pass the market test; Trump’s Softening Stance; Gulf States sever ties with Qatar – implications on oil

Mike Gordon

Strong and stable? On 18 April, when PM Theresa May announced that she would ask the UK’s electorate to give her an enhanced Brexit negotiation mandate by way of an early election, my (well documented) view was that she would improve her majority and this should in turn be positive for the UK’s Brexit negotiation prospects,… Read more »