Tatton Weekly: Yield-curve flattening: a bad omen?; Q3 earnings wrap up: Europe and Japan shine; Economic and market cycles; Value traps

Mike Gordon

Yield-curve flattening: a bad omen? After equity markets saw one of their longest winning streaks for quite some time, a bit of pushback from nervous traders and investors was probably inevitable. As if our lead article of last week had jinxed markets into action – sure enough – this week saw the longest streak of… Read more »

Tatton Weekly: Nervous investors herald more volatile markets; Game of Thrones at the House of Saud: an oil price threat?; Turning point for UK house prices?; Can consolidation in UK electricity distribution increase competition?

Mike Gordon

Nervous investors herald more volatile markets Private investors with globally diversified multi-asset investment portfolios tend to be quite happy these days. That is, unless they have more cash that needs investing. As the chart above shows, since the last large market correction at the beginning of 2016, investment returns have been plentiful, even for the… Read more »

Tatton Weekly: UK rate rise: ‘one and done’ or beginning of rate hiking cycle?; Eurozone: on the periphery or in the game?; Abenomics revitalised; Butter shortages and metals prices linked by cobwebs?

Mike Gordon

UK rate rise: ‘one and done’ or beginning of rate hiking cycle? It has been an eventful start to November, following a full-on October that generated pleasing returns for investors in global capital markets (see table above). The financially interested UK public will have focused on the first interest rate rise in the UK for… Read more »

Tatton Weekly: Trick or treat season; ECB Monetary policy: lower and longer than a snake’s belly; Saudi Aramco’s IPO: Is oil at a crossroads?; Investor psychology: overcoming biases in long-term investing

Mike Gordon

Trick or treat season It’s been a bit of a nervous week in equity markets, and not a brilliant week for bonds. In Europe, the ECB did its best to help EU equities; while UK stocks are lagging for several reasons, mostly associated with all things Brexit in the minds of many city commentators. ECB… Read more »

Tatton Weekly: 30 years; The UK’s inflation dynamics – ‘back to front’?; New chair for US Federal Reserve – will it matter?; Communist Party Congress in China: Investment implications?; 4 letter financial acronym with predictive qualities for currencies: CCBS

Mike Gordon

30 years This week, the 30th anniversary of two formidable storms in October 1987 reminded us that extreme weather and capital market events are not something that only started after the year 2000. While most long-term return charts nowadays show the 1987 stock market crash only as a tiny blip, the application of a base-effect… Read more »